Finding good betting opportunities at the race track is not as hard as most people think. The free horse racing system you’re about to see is easy for you to use. It will be very profitable for anybody who has the discipline to stay with the system’s simple rules.
I’m going to teach you the rules, and then I will explain why the system works and critique its strong points and disadvantages.
Here are the Rules
First: The race must be a claiming race with the exception that it can not be a maiden claiming race. You can see if the race is a claiming race by looking in the race description at the top of either the track program or the past performances.
Second: Calculate each horse’s lifetime earnings per start (LEPS). Use this simple equation to calculate the LEPS: (lifetime earnings) / (lifetime starts) = (lifetime earnings per start). You can find the horse’s lifetime earnings and lifetime starts in the top right corner of its past performance listing.
Third: Place a win bet on the horse with the largest earning per start over its lifetime if it goes to post at 8-to-1 or higher odds.
The Reasons Why this Handicapping System Works
Because of their differences genetically, all horses are not the same and they have different levels of ability. That is why there are different levels of class in horseracing. If a horse is in good condition, he will be an easy winner if he is entered in a race at a much lower class level.
A horse that fits the profile of the system will almost certainly have been competitive in much higher class levels in the past. The horses selected by this method in general can not win at their former class level because they have had injuries. So they are used by the racing insiders as “betting tools.” The trainers keep these horses in the stable because they are looking to use them to make money cashing large bets. The trainer knows that if the horse can return to its former form even if it’s only for a single race, it will be an easy winner against the lower class field in today’s race. So because of manipulation by the trainer, these horses win regularly and will win unexpectedly without showing any signs of improvement. Also because of this manipulation by the trainer, these horses will usually pay huge odds when they win.
Strengths and Disadvantages Using this Method
This method can be a big money maker over the long run and will steadily return a profit of twenty to thirty percent for each dollar wagered. The weakest point of the system is the win percent which will run from 10% to 14%. What this means to you is when you start using this system you should expect to see long streaks of consecutive losers.
The number or size of consecutive losers for any handicapping method is determined by the method’s percentage of wins. Suppose for example that your win percentage was about 14%, which is winning about one out of every seven bets. You should expect to see one losing streak of 34 consecutive losers in every 1000 bets. Based on this assumption of a win percentage of 14%, we should also expect see 27 losing streaks of 10 or more losers in a row for each 1000 bets. This would mean you would be losing 10 or more consecutive losers about 37% of the time while you are betting this method.
The winning percentage is one of the most important factors to consider when evaluating any handicapping system. If you are looking for a system with a much greater winning percentage than this method, take a look at “The Indicator Handicapping Method” which is the featured handicapping method at turfanalyst.com, my website.